Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 3.384379 4.057090 4.809301 5.709886 6.755778 7.929027 9.341524
2025-06-29 2.354820 3.190611 4.225918 5.590971 7.330280 9.458022 12.241684
2025-07-06 1.750608 2.633098 3.824451 5.524655 7.858125 10.913433 15.174393
2025-07-13 1.469608 2.412862 3.780250 5.861246 8.891553 13.076082 19.206682
2025-07-20 1.227265 2.182837 3.660073 6.040293 9.690383 14.967163 23.029066
2025-07-27 1.068447 2.041814 3.634939 6.333301 10.660150 17.164418 27.459356
2025-08-03 0.889337 1.825363 3.445939 6.327208 11.149463 18.672046 30.981105
2025-08-10 0.712636 1.572820 3.148702 6.088682 11.220124 19.517916 33.536187
2025-08-17 0.576235 1.365045 2.891163 5.871837 11.283880 20.333269 36.079069
2025-08-24 0.491227 1.241332 2.765875 5.867864 11.700102 21.741927 39.668054
2025-08-31 0.423127 1.138227 2.661926 5.884832 12.146066 23.224431 43.474988
2025-09-07 0.359737 1.030941 2.530488 5.826762 12.439874 24.455935 46.930321
2025-09-14 0.287000 0.884821 2.294670 5.531400 12.262775 24.859341 49.022275
2025-09-21 0.244305 0.804278 2.189920 5.494880 12.586535 26.198922 52.882130
2025-09-28 0.208231 0.731894 2.090690 5.454786 12.895242 27.530249 56.817741
2025-10-05 0.197007 0.728176 2.157194 5.796147 14.029059 30.519723 64.030098
2025-10-12 0.178990 0.699177 2.154877 5.976238 14.834703 32.925687 70.291035
2025-10-19 0.167543 0.688061 2.197143 6.267446 15.908275 35.935814 77.894941
2025-10-26 0.145970 0.637049 2.122740 6.261706 16.318540 37.634756 83.047511
2025-11-02 0.119984 0.561984 1.966322 6.025452 16.176687 38.184224 85.954382
2025-11-09 0.098910 0.497401 1.826670 5.810624 16.057940 38.765104 88.950123
2025-11-16 0.086455 0.462229 1.768857 5.806697 16.440256 40.436667 94.269541
2025-11-23 0.076104 0.432121 1.721049 5.823512 16.873782 42.247177 99.981736